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Welcome to the Mediterranean Cyclone Centre!

We are one of the few and by far the most popular source on the Internet for Medicanes, subtropical and tropical cyclones forming in the Mediterranean Sea. We track and archive them, and issue advisories at our Twitter account. If you’d like to help us track, join our Discord, located below:

While the site is being finished, outlooks will be posted here.

Current outlook

Active Tropical Cyclones:
  • Mediterranean Sea:
    • Areas to watch for development: None
  • Black Sea:
    • Areas to watch for development: None
  • Caspian Sea:
    • Areas to watch for development: None
  • Northeast Atlantic:
    • Areas to watch for development: None
CurrentOutlook.png
28 Oct 2021 | 1800 UTC | 02M/GLORIA - ADVISORY 6

...GLORIA EXPECTED TO CRAWL A BIT CLOSER TO THE ITALIAN COASTLINE OVER THE NEXT DAY AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM...

Current location: 35.5°N, 16.1°E
Maximum sustained winds: 45 kt/50 mph/82 kph
Minimum central pressure: 1003 mbar
Moving: Stationary

FORECAST DISCUSSION: 
Gloria is expected to get a bit closer to Sicily, stall some distance off the coast, then accelerate to landfall in eastern Libya. The system will come quite close to the coastline of Sicily, although its strongest winds likely won't impact the island. Then, Gloria is expected to stall near the coastline of Sicily for about a day, bringing with it the potential for dangerous weather. After some time stalling, the cyclone will accelerate towards Libya, finally coming ashore around the Benghazi area late on the 31st of October (there is remarkable model agreement on this). The storm isn't expected to strengthen much further beyond 50 mph, and is expected to weaken as it approaches Libya, likely peaking during its phase of stalling near Sicily.

CURRENT CONDITIONS:
Gloria's appearance is somewhat reminiscent of Ianos/Cassilda late on September 16th/early on September 17th, 2020. The cyclone's center is surrounded by convection on three quadrants, with the SE quadrant being relatively weak and open. The LLCC itself is exposed by a lack of convection, an eye-like feature is present. Gloria is analysed to be 45 knots as of right now based on a ship reporting 10 minute sustained winds of 70 km/h a few hours ago, well away from the center of the system. The system appears stationary right now, based on a lack of meaningful motion on satellite imagery. Thus, the location from the 17Z update is kept. The system is expected to level off in intensity for a short time as it approaches Sicily and Malta. Interests in Sicily, Malta, and Libya should be prepared for periods of high wind and heavy rain over the forecast period.
INIT  28/1800Z 35.5N, 16.1E   45 KT  50 MPH
12H  29/0600Z 36.3N, 16.0E   45 KT  50 MPH
24H  29/1800Z 36.6N, 16.3E   45 KT  50 MPH
36H  30/0600Z 36.5N, 16.3E   40 KT  45 MPH
48H  30/1800Z 35.3N, 16.4E   40 KT  45 MPH
60H  31/0600Z 33.3N, 18.0E   40 KT  45 MPH
72H  31/1800Z 31.8N, 20.0E   35 KT  40 MPH...ON THE COAST OF LIBYA
96H  01/1800Z...DISSIPATED OVER AFRICA

Names

The MCC created a naming list in 2018, consisting of 96 names. There are a total of ninety-six names, which are used in rotation. If a storm is retired, using all letters of the English Alphabet minus U and W. These are the next 10 names. The most recent name to be used was Falchion, which was active with some interruptions between August 12 and 16, 2021

  • Gloria (unused)
  • Helios (unused)
  • Isabella (unused)
  • Jon (unused)
  • Karissa (unused)
  • Luigi (unused)
  • Marquesa (unused)
  • Nikolai (unused)
  • Odessa (unused)

Staff

Staff Position
starfrost / starfrost013 Manager & Creator
TornadoGenius Social Media Manager
Giedriuswithnonlatinname, TornadoGenius, Rafail, Hypercane, RyanKnack Forecasters
Caleb, TheWeatherWill Graphics Team

Discord

https://discord.gg/WTUwpPd

Tracking medicanes since 2018!