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Welcome to the Mediterranean Cyclone Centre!

We are one of the few and by far the most popular source on the Internet for Medicanes, subtropical and tropical cyclones forming in the Mediterranean Sea. We track and archive them, and issue advisories at our Twitter account. If you’d like to help us track, join our Discord, located below:

While the site is being finished, outlooks will be posted here.

Current outlook

Active Tropical Cyclones:
  • Mediterranean Sea:
    • Areas to watch for development: None
  • Black Sea:
    • Areas to watch for development: None
  • Caspian Sea:
    • Areas to watch for development: None
  • Northeast Atlantic:
    • Areas to watch for development: None
12 Aug 2021 | 1800 UTC | 01M/FALCHION - ADVISORY 1


Current center location: 44.0ºN, 37.8ºE
Maximum sustained winds: 25kt/30 MPH/46 kph
Moving: NE at 5kt/6 MPH/10 kph

The area of low pressure over the north-central Black Sea has been classified as Medistorm FALCHION. Falchion is moving slowly to the north-east, and is expected to strengthen and make landfall near Gelendhzik by tomorrow evening. Steering is expected to collapse as Falchion approaches the coast, and the cyclone should stall out near or over the coast for about a day. Following this, Falchion is expected to return to the Black Sea and head SSE toward Turkey, but conditions will not be as favorable and the storm will likely weaken. Another stall is possible in the vicinity of the Turkish coast, and Falchion will dissipate near or over Turkey. 

Falchion exhibits a shear pattern, with the low level circulation (LLC) and mid-level circulation (MLC) are widely separated. The MLC is already nearing the Sea of Azov, and is likely to decouple entirely over the next few hours. Ragged convection has developing in wide bands, largely from the MLC. The strongest winds and heaviest rains are found in those bands, which can bring heavy rain and wind hazards to locations well away from the center of the storm.  This structure is expected to continue up to landfall with an increase in wind speed. Interests in southern Russia should be prepared for strong winds and heavy rain, with flash flooding possible.


INIT  12/1800Z 44.0N  37.8E   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  13/0600Z 44.3N  38.0E   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  13/1800Z 44.5N  38.1E   40 KT  45 MPH...ON THE COAST
 36H  14/0600Z 45.0N  37.5E   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 48H  14/1800Z 43.8N  35.6E   30 KT  35 MPH...OVER WATER
 72H  15/1800Z 42.3N  34.7E   25 KT  30 MPH
 96H  16/1800Z 41.5N  33.0E   15 KT  20 MPH...DISSIPATED


We created a naming list in 2018, consisting of 96 names. There are a total of ninety-six names, which are used in rotation. If a storm is retired, using all letters of the English Alphabet minus U and W. These are the next 10 names. The most recent name to be used was Falchion, which is currently active as of 12 August 2021.

  • Gloria (unused)
  • Helios (unused)
  • Isabella (unused)
  • Jon (unused)
  • Karissa (unused)
  • Luigi (unused)
  • Marquesa (unused)
  • Nikolai (unused)
  • Odessa (unused)


Staff Position
starfrost / starfrost013 Manager & Creator
TornadoGenius Social Media Manager
Giedriuswithnonlatinname, TornadoGenius, Rafail, Hypercane, RyanKnack Forecasters
Caleb, TheWeatherWill Graphics Team


Tracking medicanes since 2018!