Welcome to the Mediterranean Cyclone Centre!
We are one of the few and by far the most popular source on the Internet for Medicanes, subtropical and tropical cyclones forming in the Mediterranean Sea. We track and archive them, and issue advisories at our Twitter account. If you’d like to help us track, join our Discord, located below:
While the site is being finished, outlooks will be posted here.
12 Aug 2021 | 1800 UTC | 01M/FALCHION - ADVISORY 1 ...FALCHION CHURNING OVER THE BLACK SEA NEAR RUSSIA... Current center location: 44.0ºN, 37.8ºE Maximum sustained winds: 25kt/30 MPH/46 kph Moving: NE at 5kt/6 MPH/10 kph FORECAST DISCUSSION: The area of low pressure over the north-central Black Sea has been classified as Medistorm FALCHION. Falchion is moving slowly to the north-east, and is expected to strengthen and make landfall near Gelendhzik by tomorrow evening. Steering is expected to collapse as Falchion approaches the coast, and the cyclone should stall out near or over the coast for about a day. Following this, Falchion is expected to return to the Black Sea and head SSE toward Turkey, but conditions will not be as favorable and the storm will likely weaken. Another stall is possible in the vicinity of the Turkish coast, and Falchion will dissipate near or over Turkey. CURRENT CONDITIONS: Falchion exhibits a shear pattern, with the low level circulation (LLC) and mid-level circulation (MLC) are widely separated. The MLC is already nearing the Sea of Azov, and is likely to decouple entirely over the next few hours. Ragged convection has developing in wide bands, largely from the MLC. The strongest winds and heaviest rains are found in those bands, which can bring heavy rain and wind hazards to locations well away from the center of the storm. This structure is expected to continue up to landfall with an increase in wind speed. Interests in southern Russia should be prepared for strong winds and heavy rain, with flash flooding possible. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/1800Z 44.0N 37.8E 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 13/0600Z 44.3N 38.0E 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 13/1800Z 44.5N 38.1E 40 KT 45 MPH...ON THE COAST 36H 14/0600Z 45.0N 37.5E 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 48H 14/1800Z 43.8N 35.6E 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER 72H 15/1800Z 42.3N 34.7E 25 KT 30 MPH 96H 16/1800Z 41.5N 33.0E 15 KT 20 MPH...DISSIPATED
We created a naming list in 2018, consisting of 96 names. There are a total of ninety-six names, which are used in rotation. If a storm is retired, using all letters of the English Alphabet minus U and W. These are the next 10 names. The most recent name to be used was Falchion, which is currently active as of 12 August 2021.
|starfrost / starfrost013||Manager & Creator|
|TornadoGenius||Social Media Manager|
|Giedriuswithnonlatinname, TornadoGenius, Rafail, Hypercane, RyanKnack||Forecasters|
|Caleb, TheWeatherWill||Graphics Team|
Tracking medicanes since 2018!